USD/SEK settles below 11 1/2-week high, posts weekly gain

The USD/SEK currency pair settled below Friday’s high of 9.8351, its strongest level since May 12th, as US job growth slowed sharply in July, indicating the labor market could be stalling.

Employers in all sectors of the US economy, excluding farming, added just 73,000 job positions in July, well below estimates of 110,000.

Also, June’s job gains were revised sharply lower to 14,000.

At the same time, the unemployment rate went up to 4.2%, as expected, from 4.1% in June.

The latest figures prompted investors to increase bets on how many times the Federal Reserve will likely lower interest rates this year.

Markets are now pricing in 54 basis points of rate cuts by year-end, compared to about 34 basis points on Thursday. The first cut is again expected in September.

The Fed kept its federal funds rate target range without change at 4.25%-4.50% at its July meeting, in line with market consensus.

Yet, two governors dissented in favor of a rate cut, which has been the first such dual dissent since 1993.

The Fed continued its wait-and-see approach amid concerns that the ongoing trade war could undermine progress toward the 2% inflation objective.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank had not decided about September, while noting that “downside risks to labor market are certainly apparent.”

Meanwhile, Sweden’s manufacturing activity grew at the fastest rate since May 2022 in July.

Sweden’s Swedbank Manufacturing PMI rose to 54.2 in July from a revised down 51.8 in June.

The exotic Forex pair gained 1.36% for the week.